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Is a $50K retest ahead of Friday’s US jobs data?

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The challenging sales in the US dollar market at the end of last week assisted Bitcoin (BTC) in breaking through $49,000.

The tough sales in the U.S dollar market at the end of last week helped Bitcoin (BTC) to get above $49,000. BTC went through some barriers to extend its climb above $50,000, a psychological resistance level, as investors were careful about the Federal Reserve’s taper timing. 

Jerome Powell The Fed Chairman gave a slightly dovish perspective during his speech on Friday during the annual Jackson hole symposium. During one moment, he backed out from giving ideas related to when the Fed would begin revealing its $120 billion a month asset purchasing program. Powell stated that they might start tapering by the end of 2021, albeit stating that the Delta-variant of the Covid-19 might be a barrier. “We will be carefully assessing incoming data and the evolving risks,” he said. “Timing and pace of taper will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate lift off,” he added.

 The U.S Bureau of Economic Analysis stated that annual core personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price, which the FED states as their favourite inflation metric, unchanged at 3.6%, about 1.6% higher than the central bank’s target. By Sep. 1, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will reveal August’s private sector employment data. Also, investors can witness the ISM manufacturing PMI for its Prices Paid component. Through this they could gauge input price pressures in the manufacturing sector to state inflation. 

During Friday, the Non-farm payroll (NFP) data is looking forward to present the U.S economy’s addition of 763,000 jobs in August which is somewhat 19% lower than July’s print of 943,000. This disappointing job data could further delay the Fed’s decision to taper its asset purchase program and support the increase in price of the risk assets including Bitcoin. Bitcoin has been gravitating within a short-term ascending channel suggesting a move towards the lower trendline near ($47,000) for a pullback towards the upper trendline above ($50,000). The BTC/USD exchange rate has been testing the 0.786-line near ($50,779) of the Fibonacci retracement graph following a 75.36% bullish move. Due to this an extended pullback move from the price ceiling introduced Bitcoin’s next downside target near the 0.618-fib line (around $43,886). 

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